Mr. Brooks concludes that if Dean were the Presidential candidate for the Democrats, he would lose handily based on the character of the voting populace.
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"Over the past few decades, the electorate has become much
better educated. In 1960, only 22 percent of voters had
been to college; now more than 52 percent have. As voters
become more educated, they are more likely to be
ideological and support the party that embraces their
ideological label. As a result, the parties have polarized.
There used to be many conservatives in the Democratic Party
and many liberals in the Republican Party, groups that kept
their parties from drifting too far off-center."
"The weight of the data, it seems to me, supports the Inclusiveness side. And the chief result of polarization is that the Democrats have become detached from antipolitical independent voters. George Bush makes many liberal Democrats froth at the mouth, but he does not have this effect on most independents. Democrats are behaving suicidally by not embracing what you might, even after yesterday's court decision, call the Schwarzenegger Option: supporting a candidate so ideologically amorphous that he can appeal to these swingers."
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