November 8, 2007

Join Vermont's Tax Revolt

I have invested a half hour on Tom Licata's website, www.vermonttaxrevolt.org. He has done an impressive amount of research to lay out the huge dilemma Vermont faces in paying for what we predict we need. Everyone interested in their future in Vermont should read this section. Here he lays out the future trauma by citing a multitude of funding shortfalls recently reported in the media and from other studies and reports.

However, his proposal for a tax revolt seems to me an emotional response to today's and tomorrow's pain. The only realistic answer to reduce taxes is to control and reduce spending.
He's right that leadership and lawmakers must 1.) understand the nature of the problem, and 2.) exert the fiscal discipline needed by making very hard choices to constrain costs, rather than raising revenue.

His citing of job data is particularly telling and I had uncovered similar data in some of my research.

His data is here:

Some of the most troubling data I've uncovered show Vermont lost 11,000 private sector jobs between 2000 and 2006: 10,000 of those from Manufacturing and about 1000 in the Information field. In its place, 20,000 jobs were added for a net job gain of 9,000.

Of the 20,000 jobs added - and it's this number that is disturbing - over half or 13,000, were either from Government employment (4,000) or from the Education & Health Services field (9,000). Of this 9,000, over half are in the employment of "social assistance".

In essence, we've replaced high paying private sector jobs with relatively low paying public assistance and government jobs. Private sector job growth has almost been non-existent; all this according to "The State of Working Vermont 2007", prepared by the Public Assets Institute.


Mine is shown below:

From 2001-2005, Vermont, at 4.5%, had by far the highest growth in government (state and local) jobs among the six New England states. In fact, three states substantially reduced the number of government jobs while we had double the growth rate in Maine and triple that in New Hampshire! These jobs are funded by our taxes and we wonder why Vermonters complain about the high cost of government!

The only realistic approach to exerting some control over our government spending is for elected officials to become very serious about no new spending. If they won't, then a new crop of quality people must be convinced to run for office who have a realistic outlook on the future financial crisis facing Vermont.

To be candid, I'm not optimistic that we can bend the trend without a crisis. Americans seem predisposed to status quo unless a problem is right in their face. On the other hand, a tax revolt could be a contrived crisis, I suppose.

November 7, 2007

Federal Bureau of Investigation - Major Executive Speeches

Federal Bureau of Investigation - Major Executive Speeches

A speech delivered by the director of the FBI, Robert Mueller, about cyber terrorism and espionage that's worth reading. This is a tough battle given the plethora of bright people on the enemies' side and the vast sandbox available to play in.

November 6, 2007

Oil Reserves Grow With Technology and Price

This NY Times piece is good news for the economy and bad news for the global warming alarmists.

BlockquoteWithin the last decade, technology advances have made it possible to unlock more oil from old fields, and, at the same time, higher oil prices have made it economical for companies to go after reserves that are harder to reach. With plenty of oil still left in familiar locations, forecasts that the world’s reserves are drying out have given way to predictions that more oil can be found than ever before.

In a wide-ranging study published in 2000, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated that ultimately recoverable resources of conventional oil totaled about 3.3 trillion barrels, of which a third has already been produced. More recently, Cambridge Energy Research Associates, an energy consultant, estimated that the total base of recoverable oil was 4.8 trillion barrels. That higher estimate — which Cambridge Energy says is likely to grow — reflects how new technology can tap into more resources."

Microsoft unwraps Windows Live desktop suite | Tech news blog - CNET News.com

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This is a test blog posting from the new Windows Live Suite toolbar. I like the new Writer window and features...cool.

Microsoft unwraps Windows Live desktop suite Tech news blog - CNET News.com

Explaining OpenSocial to your Executives

Here's a succinct and cogent explanation of Google's OpenSocial initiative and what it means for people in the "Web 2.0" space.

November 3, 2007

Declarations - WSJ.com

Peggy Noonan Nails Hillary's Reality

Most certainly Peggy Noonan is a partisan operative. That said, I think she has seen the real Mrs. Clinton, a liberal with quadruple-speak as her language. But people who will listen openly for 5 minutes will see it if they are not blinded by their ideology. Kudos to Tim Russert for asking the hard questions in the Philadelphia Democrat candidates debate.

The Feminine Critique - New York Times

Why do I get the sense that this is more about providing full employment for academics and researchers than anything else. Do we really expect to change a man into a woman or vice versa? Humans are divided mostly according to gender and act according to millenia of conditioning. Right or wrong, that's the way life is. Our system of laws can guarantee equal opportunity, but not equal realities.

Google to unveil 'Android' phone software | Webware : Cool Web apps for everyone

Google to unveil 'Android' phone software Webware : Cool Web apps for everyone

Tom Krazit has written one of the most thoughtful pieces on the impending Google announcement about it's thrust into the mobile device software.

Here, I think, is the most important possibility that could evolve from Google's play:

"Google's stated open-source approach, or open net approach to life, is antithetical to the way cellular carriers look at the world," said Tim Hanlon, an executive vice president at Denuo, a consulting arm of advertising agency Publicis Groupe. Carriers are "loath to separate device from service. They're loath to let third-party applications play on their proprietary network."

If Google succeeds in opening up the industry it will be the biggest thing the search company has done in the last couple of years, said Stephen Arnold, author of The Google Legacy and a new book, Google Version 2.0: The Calculating Predator. "The phone companies "don't understand the business Google is in, and now they're talking to them!"

Nevertheless, Microsoft will certainly not sit still and let the device manufacturers and software developers migrate en masse to Google.

I think one very important Google thrust behind everything they're doing recently is to capture the attention and energy of software developers while at the same time capturing mind-share of consumers with all their free, and excellent apps and tools. Their OpenSocial and Google Gears initiatives are current examples.

Here is another quote from a NY Times column by John Markoff.
“Instead of making money on software, you have someone who is saying they’re trying to make their money on services,” said Michael Kleeman, a technology strategist at the California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology at the University of California at San Diego. “The interesting question is whether the carriers will authorize the Google hand-sets on their networks.”


The battle will rage when/if Google makes its announcement on Monday, 11/4/07.

Feel the Love - New York Times

Feel the Love - New York Times

David Brooks is hilarious in this column. I wonder if he wrote this himself because he's usually so serious. But given the debate among the Democrats in Philadelphia last week, they deserve this roasting by Brooks. These early and far too long campaigns have turned into a farce. I hope in 2012 the candidates for President have the good sense to campaign for a much shorter time.

I suppose in 2008 the reason for this interminable foolishness is the open office.

November 1, 2007

Prices at the Pump

As petroleum trades near $95.00/barrel and the price of gasoline at the pump moves toward $4.00/gallon, it must be nearly time for politicians to rumble about investigating the oil companies.

This ritual would seem overdue since the Congress has accomplished little in the past several months and making noise about the price of gas would divert attention from their sad record of accomplishment since last year's election.