2013 Atlantic hurricane season wrap-up: least active in 30 years:
Oops, the experts really missed this forecast. Most likely they are wrong about global warming, too. This failure reveals the inherent weakness of climate and weather modeling.
'via Blog this'
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts
October 27, 2012
New York faces most intense storm in history - Outside the Box - MarketWatch
New York faces most intense storm in history - Outside the Box - MarketWatch:
A nasty confluence of forces seem to be converging on the NY-NJ area. This is a Friday, 10/26/12 forecast so a lot can happen before the storm hits in a few days.
A nasty confluence of forces seem to be converging on the NY-NJ area. This is a Friday, 10/26/12 forecast so a lot can happen before the storm hits in a few days.
"...For those south of the center, the storm’s circulation will actually be pushing flooding seas away from shore, lessening potential impacts.'via Blog this'
Right now, the most reliable model tracks have clustered in a relatively tight range from Delaware to New York City. Counter-intuitively should the center of the storm make a direct strike on New York City, the city may actually be spared some of the more serious coastal impacts from the storm.
Should the storm continue on its current path (the National Hurricane Center’s most likely landfall is now in southern New Jersey), all bets are off for the five boroughs.
The latter scenario — the one that now appears most likely — would have many feet of ocean water funneled into New York Harbor over a period of up to 36 hours. Unlike Irene, which quickly transited New York City last year as a weakening tropical storm, Sandy may actually be in the process of strengthening when it makes landfall.
The result could prove incredibly damaging for coastal residents and critical infrastructure. Keep in mind that Irene was only inches away from flooding subway tunnels in Lower Manhattan. Storm-surge forecasts for this scenario haven’t been officially released yet, but six to 10 feet in the city is not out of the question in a worst-case scenario.
That result would put about 700,000 people’s homes underwater, according to a Climate Central interactive analysis. Add to that waves of 10 to 20 feet on ocean-facing shores, and an additional foot or so of tidal influence from the full moon, and we could be dealing with quite a mess on our hands.
With National Geographic reporting that sea level rise is already accelerating at three to four times the global rate in the Northeast due to climate change, impacts are expected to be worse than if the same exact storm would have hit several years ago.
Should Sandy veer further north of its current track and make landfall right over the city, storm surge could be dramatically lessened, though the city could receive about double the amount of rainfall — up to a foot or more.
For these reasons, if I were a resident of New York right now, I’d be rooting for a direct hit. If given a choice, I’d take 12 inches of rain over six feet of coastal flooding any day.
March 7, 2011
Wicked Winter Weather
Son Mark's home in Shoreham, VT.
My driveway at 0800:
Looks like the storm is over. Only very light snow in Colchester at 1500. Here are the snowfall totals from around VT. I'd say we have close to 22-24" here.
Updated from Weather Service...
This from the national Weather Service...
It's snowing very hard with strong winds at 0800. Visibility is less than 1/8 mile. 12-14" already. Will be shoveling soon! See NOAA forcasted snow amounts below.
My driveway at 0800:
Looks like the storm is over. Only very light snow in Colchester at 1500. Here are the snowfall totals from around VT. I'd say we have close to 22-24" here.
VERMONT
...ADDISON COUNTY...
CORNWALL 22.0 1030 AM 3/07 SPOTTER
...CALEDONIA COUNTY...
LYNDONVILLE 21.0 1215 PM 3/07 LYNDON STATE
2 SW SUTTON 19.5 1220 PM 3/07 COOP
ST. JOHNSBURY 17.8 1200 PM 3/07 FAIRBANKS MUSEUM
...CHITTENDEN COUNTY...
JERICHO 30.0 1136 AM 3/07 TOWN HIGHWAY
JERICHO CENTER 23.5 1019 AM 3/07 GENERAL PUBLIC
1 NE SOUTH BURLINGTO 23.3 1250 PM 3/07 NWS OFFICE
...FRANKLIN COUNTY...
SWANTON 18.1 1120 AM 3/07 PUBLIC
HIGHGATE CENTER 17.5 1117 AM 3/07 PUBLIC
...LAMOILLE COUNTY...
STOWE 27.0 1245 PM 3/07 PUBLIC
MORRISVILLE 24.5 1220 PM 3/07 PUBLIC
2 S EDEN 22.0 100 PM 3/07 COOP OBSERVER
...ORLEANS COUNTY...
1 NE NEWPORT 24.5 1135 AM 3/07 COOP OBSERVER
...RUTLAND COUNTY...
WALLINGFORD 10.0 839 AM 3/07 GENERAL PUBLIC
...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
MORETOWN 19.0 1020 AM 3/07 SPOTTER
BARRE 15.0 824 AM 3/07 MEDIA
CABOT 15.0 1230 PM 3/07 PUBLIC
EAST CALAIS 10.5 929 AM 3/07 GENERAL PUBLIC
Updated from Weather Service...
924 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011
...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE AREAS OF
NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE EXTREMELY POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS AND NO
UNNECESSARY DRIVING IS ADVISED.This from the national Weather Service...
It's snowing very hard with strong winds at 0800. Visibility is less than 1/8 mile. 12-14" already. Will be shoveling soon! See NOAA forcasted snow amounts below.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 314 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011 NYZ028-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-071600- /O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110307T1800Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS- ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON- WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN- EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY... TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY... MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD... UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 314 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AS WELL AS PARTS OF NORTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET. * TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
February 12, 2010
Climate change debate crowded with ignorance Thomas Kostigen's Ethics Monitor - MarketWatch
Climate change debate crowded with ignorance Thomas Kostigen's Ethics Monitor - MarketWatch
I couldn't have said it better. The nonsense that passes for argument about climate change deserves to be drowned out. The fact is the climate is changing, always has, always will. Those who believe mankind can change the future climate have a responsibility to describe what condition they would change it to...in all parts of the earth.
I couldn't have said it better. The nonsense that passes for argument about climate change deserves to be drowned out. The fact is the climate is changing, always has, always will. Those who believe mankind can change the future climate have a responsibility to describe what condition they would change it to...in all parts of the earth.
"...The skeptics say the snow disproves global warming. The believers say the snow proves extreme climate events associated with global warming. Both sides are being stupid about the cause and effects of climate change.
Climate is not the weather on any particular day, or week, or month. Climate is the accumulation of weather patterns over the course of years.
I know that we live in a world of Twitter feeds, blog reports, and real-time cable news, but immediacy has no place in climate talks. Hence, knee-jerk reactions to storms, disasters, and temperature readings -- whether you believe in climate change or not -- shouldn't be deemed credible evidence of much of anything..."
April 15, 2007
Winter Storm Warning!
Seems more like March than mid- April! Right now (10:00 am) we have light rain with temperature about 37 degrees F.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++
 | Winter Storm Warning | |
| Statement as of 4:02 AM EDT on April 15, 2007 ... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 8 am this morning to 6 PM EDT Monday... A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 8 am this morning to 6 PM EDT Monday for the Saint Lawrence valley... the entire Champlain Valley... the Adirondacks of northern New York... as well as north central and northeast Vermont. Widespread rain and snow is expected to overspread the region during the morning hours today. As temperatures cool tonight... precipitation will change to all snow... which will fall heavily at times through Monday morning. Some mix of sleet is possible over north central and northeast Vermont. As milder air filters into the region during the day on Monday... snow will once again mix with... and possibly change to rain at times across the region. Total snow accumulation is expected to vary widely during this event... with the heaviest totals of 10 to 20 inches over the Adirondacks. Elsewhere... 6 to 14 inches is possible across the Champlain Valley and the Saint Lawrence Valley. North central and northeast Vermont will see totals ranging from 7 to 14 inches... with the highest amounts across north central portions of Vermont... to include the western slopes of the Green Mountains. Please stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... your local media... or go to www.Weather.Gov/Burlington for further updates on this weather situation. | ||
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